Friday, February 19, 2010
Office of Net Assessment
by TPMmuckraker through the Freedom of Information Act
Pentagon's internal think tank, "20 to 30 years in the future," according to Jan van Tol
15 staffers, work is done by outside contractors, influence vast
Creation in 1973 by Andrew Marshall. Fred Kaplan profiles Marshall, the so-called "Yoda" of the Pentagon
"its informal channels are probably more important
says Paul Bracken
best known for its Cold War work evaluating
More recently Marshall was intimately involved in Donald Rumsfeld's project of "military transformation."
American dominance, earlier this decade ordered, that examined ancient empires to glean lessons
ONA has turned its sights to Asia, focusing obsessively on China as the next
rival power, studies' authors
outside contractors, Hudson Institute, Booz Allen Hamilton, or lesser-known firms like Scitor Corporation and IHS International
The Pentagon Office of Net Assessment from the Hudson Institute called "The Great Siberian War of 2025. The US has succeded in cutting of chinese access to oil in the Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf and china, in desperation, turns toward Siberia, Russia east of the Urals and you get a World War.
The Marshall Plan
For 40 years, the man Pentagon insiders call Yoda has foreseen the future of war - from battlefield bots rolling off radar-proof ships to GIs popping performance pills. And that was before the war on terror.
By Douglas McGray
Today, Marshall - along with his star prot�g�s Vice President Dick Cheney, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, and Deputy Secretary Paul Wolfowitz - is drafting President Bush's plan
We've got to transform the force, next radical change
what drugs the other guys are on.", precision weapons with sensors, ability to coordinate separate elements, robotic devices-UAVs, undersea, smaller device able to crawl through buildings
psychologically influencing, visually impressing the person
The Swedes, three new naval vessels, submarine [running on fuel cells, Visby
no metal other than the engine
neural pharmacology, like natural chemicals inside people, behavior-modifying
THE NEW MARSHALL PLAN
The Pentagon's oldest cold warrior has a dubious vision for the future of national defense
By Jason Vest
Frank Gaffney's Center for Security Policy, adore Marshall for his dire prognostications about an inevitably bellicose and hegemonic China and his advocacy of "Revolution in Military Affairs," a doctrine critics charge is an intellectual cover for spending largess on "precision," Buck Rogers-type weaponry.
"Putting Andy Marshall in charge of this is a ploy to make sure National Missile Defense gets funded,"
Says wars will not be fought up close but from a distance, critical of the Air Force's F-22 fighter program
Regarding cold war, "Until the very end he was a major promoter of the line that 'The Russians are coming and they're ten feet tall.' "
He was one of the quietly forceful hands behind the infamous "Team B", far-right Committee on the Present Danger were given access to CIA data and allowed to histrionically rewrite the National Intelligence Estimate on Soviet Military Intentions.
In the early '80s, Marshall's view, imperative to arm the Afghan muhjahadeen with Stinger missiles, opposed by even the CIA
two close Marshall associates, Fred Ikle and Michael Pillsbury, pushed hard
the Stinger shipments. The missiles were not decisive. Marshall enthusiastic supporter of Star Wars schemes. we really do need someone like that," says Jonathan Pollack, a professor at the Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island, and one of the leading analysts of the Chinese military
Marshall swoons over high-technology networked sensor systems and "smart" weapons--expensive procurements that are notorious for, well, not working
As Pollack says, "This is going to be a gravy train."